Projecte llegit
Títol: Forecasting Air Travel Demand as the Initial Stage in a Revenue Management Process: Challenges in the Presence of Exogenous Factors
Estudiants que han llegit aquest projecte:
- VALLÈS HUERTA, VÍCTOR (data lectura: 12-02-2024)
- Cerca aquest projecte a Bibliotècnica
Director/a: KULJANIN, JOVANA
Departament: FIS
Títol: Forecasting Air Travel Demand as the Initial Stage in a Revenue Management Process: Challenges in the Presence of Exogenous Factors
Data inici oferta: 17-07-2023 Data finalització oferta: 17-03-2024
Estudis d'assignació del projecte:
- GR ENG SIS TELECOMUN
- GR ENG SIST AEROESP
- GR ENG TELEMÀTICA
Tipus: Individual | |
Lloc de realització: EETAC | |
Paraules clau: | |
Revenue management, optimisation, airline operations | |
Descripció del contingut i pla d'activitats: | |
Having in mind that airline industry is characterised by high capital and very small profit margins, the role of revenue management is crucial to sustain profit. Thus, the aim of the thesis is to explore the field of airline revenue management and its importance in optimizing profitability. It develops the optimization strategies employed by revenue management analysts, focusing on various aspects such as pricing strategies, demand forecasting, and capacity utilization to develop effective revenue management techniques for the airline industry.
Objectives: -Investigate the current revenue management practices in the airline industry and identify key challenges and opportunities -Analyze different dynamic pricing models and their impact on revenue generation -Study optimization techniques considering various factors such as fares, seat availability, etc... -Data analysis |
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Overview (resum en anglès): | |
The aviation industry has experienced substantial growth in a highly competitive environment, especially during recent years. One of the consequences that this scenario has caused is that, in order to remain competitive in the market, airlines have had to perform continuous innovations in their seat pricing strategies to optimise the profitability of their flights.
The concept of Revenue Management involves strategically making decisions during the sales process, with the primary objective of maximising the total revenue that can be obtained. One of the key aspects that plays a fundamental role throughout this process lays on modelling future demand, as well as the various behaviours that potential customers may exhibit. This project primarily focuses on two pillars: the categorization of the different types of demand in the sale of airline tickets depending on the behaviour of customers and the forecast of such demand in the short term. Additionally, the entire project has been carried out using real data obtained from historical bookings. Throughout this work, various traditional methods of time series forecasting are studied and analysed and, with the obtained results, a validation process is conducted and a comparison of the performance of each of the forecasting methods is carried out to ultimately choose the most appropriate method in each case. Finally, the obtained results are used to develop a final forecast of the demand for a specific flight in a certain date that allows to optimise revenue by means of an allocation of fare classes for different seats on the same flight after determining the availability of each fare class that should be offered throughout the entire sales process. |